Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.333914 0.361132 0.390316 0.424069 0.462202 0.504145 0.554042
2025-11-23 0.284637 0.322150 0.365168 0.418706 0.484349 0.563294 0.667128
2025-11-30 0.260750 0.304429 0.356916 0.425796 0.515630 0.631560 0.797356
2025-12-07 0.239999 0.286650 0.344688 0.423997 0.532586 0.681027 0.909071
2025-12-14 0.223688 0.272145 0.334170 0.421852 0.547029 0.727109 1.022649
2025-12-21 0.207415 0.255970 0.319515 0.411794 0.548072 0.752630 1.108001
2025-12-28 0.200454 0.251280 0.319448 0.421482 0.578137 0.825346 1.285718
2026-01-04 0.193042 0.245261 0.316799 0.426765 0.601597 0.890519 1.465633
2026-01-11 0.185050 0.237787 0.311351 0.427058 0.616745 0.943505 1.635649
2026-01-18 0.175627 0.227664 0.301277 0.419168 0.617222 0.970141 1.757840
2026-01-25 0.165833 0.216448 0.288843 0.406456 0.607968 0.977121 1.838056
2026-02-01 0.158418 0.208269 0.280408 0.399411 0.607678 1.000954 1.964631
2026-02-08 0.151525 0.200699 0.272726 0.393460 0.609559 1.031186 2.122587
2026-02-15 0.145288 0.193831 0.265772 0.388265 0.612451 1.064521 2.303473
2026-02-22 0.142230 0.191521 0.265692 0.394595 0.637593 1.150003 2.671916
2026-03-01 0.137651 0.186663 0.261268 0.392981 0.647057 1.202238 2.964851
2026-03-08 0.133351 0.182015 0.256893 0.391058 0.655602 1.253973 3.285692
2026-03-15 0.127906 0.175357 0.248907 0.382037 0.648559 1.266249 3.468547
2026-03-22 0.126354 0.174673 0.250608 0.390726 0.679541 1.381550 4.146661
2026-03-29 0.124125 0.172807 0.250221 0.395461 0.702586 1.481730 4.854551
2026-04-05 0.121211 0.169718 0.247599 0.395724 0.715681 1.557441 5.521881
2026-04-12 0.117172 0.164670 0.241405 0.388652 0.711187 1.580588 5.922202
2026-04-19 0.112601 0.158614 0.233239 0.377245 0.695495 1.566842 6.089769